Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 13.141429 15.093436 17.173623 19.548598 22.178038 24.993098 28.227634
2025-01-05 10.482079 13.017826 15.883566 19.338925 23.367964 27.893015 33.333767
2025-01-12 8.864507 11.759411 15.194694 19.523919 24.782853 30.911718 38.538235
2025-01-19 7.649833 10.764487 14.623201 19.675150 26.028286 33.663315 43.434372
2025-01-26 6.873444 10.189899 14.456234 20.227645 27.700573 36.913273 48.977444
2025-02-02 6.183444 9.627597 14.215995 20.611542 29.113179 39.834236 54.159889
2025-02-09 5.477741 8.951786 13.740946 20.611066 29.973989 42.034372 58.454004
2025-02-16 4.625189 7.963807 12.737269 19.794812 29.664602 42.656918 60.683788
2025-02-23 4.070675 7.350945 12.197857 19.558747 30.088131 44.211845 64.129840
2025-03-02 3.533121 6.700704 11.540525 19.091006 30.136160 45.227335 66.848702
2025-03-09 3.135912 6.228879 11.104791 18.902199 30.543193 46.714644 70.213077
2025-03-16 2.734173 5.701832 10.535061 18.463202 30.546574 47.615090 72.768879
2025-03-23 2.488870 5.421605 10.337836 18.583429 31.377392 49.710190 77.053153
2025-03-30 2.230245 5.086557 10.020963 18.488637 31.868768 51.320838 80.684656
2025-04-06 2.055402 4.886676 9.911469 18.710663 32.838421 53.637347 85.362766
2025-04-13 1.888708 4.682356 9.775564 18.874580 33.713583 55.827993 89.900597
2025-04-20 1.794962 4.612560 9.868199 19.416472 35.192176 58.941603 95.837686
2025-04-27 1.684769 4.495731 9.865306 19.791086 36.410498 61.688983 101.291417
2025-05-04 1.534636 4.275476 9.654187 19.791839 37.019313 63.522389 105.428079
2025-05-11 1.304273 3.846629 9.014625 19.002106 36.298434 63.293722 106.476648
2025-05-18 1.163158 3.600635 8.704138 18.773800 36.485181 64.454614 109.618792
2025-05-25 1.014253 3.313361 8.286100 18.321180 36.268600 64.968020 111.776150
2025-06-01 0.906889 3.112249 8.024390 18.138498 36.496172 66.176504 115.008975